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Saturday, January 18, 2025

Reduced demand following Diwali.

Post-Diwali 2024, the retail sector in India experienced slower demand, reflecting a broader trend of subdued consumer spending despite the festive season's traditional boost. Several reports and expert analyses indicate that even though there was an uptick in sales during the festive period, the momentum did not sustain into the post-Diwali period. This situation is attributed to persistent inflation, which has impacted consumer sentiment particularly in the staple goods segment. High prices in various categories, including automobiles and jewelry, have kept consumers from making purchases, leading to a less than expected festive season for many retailers. Moreover, insights from industry leaders suggest that while premium segments showed some growth, the overall demand was below pre-Covid levels, with a notable mention from Shoppers Stop's MD indicating that the last quarter was lower than expectations. This scenario is further complicated by global economic slowdown fears and local market dynamics, where even significant events like Diwali could not catalyze the anticipated consumer spending surge.

Retail


Slower demand post-Diwali in India this year can be attributed to several factors:
  1. Post-Festive Fatigue: After the peak of Diwali celebrations, there's often a natural dip in consumer spending as people have already spent a considerable amount during the festival.
  2. Inflation: High inflation rates can dampen consumer spending power. Despite festive discounts, the overall cost of living might encourage people to save rather than spend post-Diwali.
  3. Economic Uncertainty: With global economic conditions affecting local markets, consumers might be more cautious about unnecessary expenses.
  4. Shift in Consumer Behavior: There's a noticeable trend where consumers are increasingly shopping during sales events like Diwali but then adopting a wait-and-watch approach for further deals or better prices post-festival.
  5. Premium vs. Mass Market: While premium products might still see some demand, mass-market goods could experience slower sales as the middle and lower-middle classes tighten their belts.
  6. Inventory and Pricing: After Diwali, retailers might have surplus inventory leading to price corrections, which could further slow down demand if consumers expect further discounts.
  7. Digital and E-commerce Impact: The rise of online shopping might lead to less footfall in physical stores post-Diwali, as consumers might have fulfilled most of their needs online during the festival.
  8. Seasonal Factors: Certain categories like fashion might see a lull after the festive season until the next big event or season change.
Given these dynamics, post-Diwali 2024 in India has shown a trend towards slower demand across the retail sector, with specific industries feeling the impact more acutely based on their product categories and consumer base.

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